基于串联两阶段网络DEA模型的供应链规模收益分析

数据包络分析(DEA)是评价供应链系统(Supply chain system)间相对有效性的一种重要的工具,但是传统的DEA不考虑供应链的内部结构,对系统效率评价偏高;而本文所研究两阶段串联供应链系统,考虑把部分中间产品作为最终产品输出,增加额外中间投入的情形.基于所提出的供应链系统结构,本文建立相应的串联结构下的网络DEA模型,并针对所建立模型进行相关理论的研究,给出了串联结构下的生产可能集和规模收益情况判定方法.最后,进行数值实验,以验证我们提出的结论.     

基于Nie-Tan算法的区间二型模糊集质心计算:改变主变量采样个数

计算区间二型模糊集的质心(也称降型)是区间二型模糊逻辑系统中的一个重要模块。Karnik-Mendel(KM)迭代算法通常被认为是计算区间二型模糊集质心的标准算法。尽管如此,KM算法涉及复杂的计算过程,不利于实时应用。在各种改进类算法中,非迭代的Nie-Tan(NT)算法可节省计算消耗。此外,连续版本NT(CNT,continuous version of NT)算法被证明是计算质心的准确算法。本文比较了离散版本NT算法中求和运算和连续版本NT算法中求积分运算,通过四个计算机仿真例子证实了当适度增加区间二型模糊集主变量采样个数时,NT算法的计算结果可以精确地逼近CNT算法。     

Stability analysis of fractional order fuzzy cellular neural networks with leakage delay and time varying delays

In this paper we investigated the stability of fractional order fuzzy cellular neural networks with leakage delay and time varying delays. Based on Lyapunov theory and applying bounded techniques of fractional calculation, sufficient criterion are established to guarantee the stability. Hybrid feedback control is applied to derive the proposed results. Finally, numerical examples with simulation results are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.     

An approach for solving a fuzzy multiobjective programming problem

In this paper we present a new approach, based on the Nearest Interval Approximation Operator, for dealing with a multiobjective programming problem with fuzzy-valued objective functions.     

Fuzzy logic modifications of the Analytic Hierarchy Process

The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is a measurement methodology based on pair-wise comparisons that relies on judgment to derive priority scales. During its implementation, one constructs hierarchies, then makes judgments or performs measurements on pairs of elements with respect to a criterion to derive preference scales, which are then synthesized throughout the structure to select the preferred alternative.One of the areas where the AHP finds application is in the subjective phases of risk assessment (RA), where it is used to structure and prioritize diverse risk factors, including the judgments of experts. Since fuzzy logic (FL) has been shown to be an effective tool for accommodating human experts and their communication of linguistic variables, there has been research aimed at modeling the fuzziness in the AHP (FAHP), and recently the focus of some of that modeling has been with respect to RA.The literature discusses more than one FAHP model, which raises the question as to which are the prominent models and what are their characteristics. In response to this question, we examine three of the most influential FAHP models. The article proceeds as follows. It begins with a brief overview of the AHP and its limitations when confronted with a fuzzy environment. This is followed by a discussion of FL modifications of the AHP. A RA-based likelihood score example is used throughout. The article ends with a commentary on the findings.     

The valuation of life contingencies: A symmetrical triangular fuzzy approximation

This paper extends the framework for the valuation of life insurance policies and annuities by Andrés-Sánchez and González-Vila (2012, 2014) in two ways. First we allow various uncertain magnitudes to be estimated by means of fuzzy numbers. This applies not only to interest rates but also to the amounts to be paid out by the insurance company. Second, the use of symmetrical triangular fuzzy numbers allows us to obtain expressions for the pricing of life contingencies and their variability that are closely linked to standard financial and actuarial mathematics. Moreover, they are relatively straightforward to compute and understand from a standard actuarial point of view.     

Capital allocation for portfolios with non-linear risk aggregation

Existing risk capital allocation methods, such as the Euler rule, work under the explicit assumption that portfolios are formed as linear combinations of random loss/profit variables, with the firm being able to choose the portfolio weights. This assumption is unrealistic in an insurance context, where arbitrary scaling of risks is generally not possible. Here, we model risks as being partially generated by Lévy processes, capturing the non-linear aggregation of risk. The model leads to non-homogeneous fuzzy games, for which the Euler rule is not applicable. For such games, we seek capital allocations that are in the core, that is, do not provide incentives for splitting portfolios. We show that the Euler rule of an auxiliary linearised fuzzy game (non-uniquely) satisfies the core property and, thus, provides a plausible and easily implemented capital allocation. In contrast, the Aumann–Shapley allocation does not generally belong to the core. For the non-homogeneous fuzzy games studied, Tasche’s (1999) criterion of suitability for performance measurement is adapted and it is shown that the proposed allocation method gives appropriate signals for improving the portfolio underwriting profit.     

基于白化值的区间DEA建模

传统数据包络分析要求输入输出数据为精确数,然而在某些实际应用中,区间形式的数据相较于精确数更容易获得.将区间数转化为白化值,并基于传统C~2R模型提出了基于白化值的区间C~2R模型.考虑到决策单元的有效性不易通过基于白化值的区间C~2R模型来判断,因此将非阿基米德无穷小概念引入到上述模型,构建了具有非阿基米德无穷小的区间C~2R模型.此外,还给出了用于判断决策单元有效性的区间目标规划方法:分别通过G_(IC~2R)模型和WG_(IC~2R)模型判断决策单元是否为区间DEA有效与区间弱DEA有效.     

具有多种失效模式的抗震结构的模糊可靠性分析

由于地震荷载和结构抗力具有明显的模糊性,在文献[1,2]中我们提出了具有单一失效模式的抗震结构的模糊可靠性分析.本文将上述概念和方法推广到具有多种失效模式的抗震结构,为此,又提出了结构的“模糊有效域”和“模糊失效域”的概念。     

分布式航天器真空热试验测控系统设计

针对航天器真空热试验对数据采集、温度控制及系统功能的要求,设计开发了一套基于LXI总线的分布式测控系统。针对目前控制系统对于温度控制系统大滞后、非线性的控制性能不佳的缺点,采用模糊自整定PID算法提升了当前控制系统的控制品质,实现了对航天器的外热流模拟与温度控制。实际运行结果表明,该系统具有可靠性高、扩展性强、控制精度高等优点,并且试验准备时间比原有系统减少一半以上,提高了试验人员的工作效率。